Farewell,
crisis and hello prosperity! The seven years of mayhem are definitely
and finally over and we can start enjoying an economic upswing as we
have rarely seen before. Gone are the doomsayers who prophetise
immense poverty, world wars and other nasty things. We, the
consumers, want to live, thrive and prosper. And spend a lot of money
at the same time. And so we do, JOEP DERKSEN reports.
After
years of downfall, the international economy has picked up speed. It
started in the United States, but now the European countries are
benefitting as well. One of the last countries to experience this
economic pleasure was the Netherlands. Yet, at last, there are no red
numbers anymore. On June 24, the CBS (Centraal Bureau for the
Statistics) released the final confirmation of our upcoming
prosperity; in the first quarter of 2015, the Dutch economy grew with
not less than 0.6%, compared to the fourth quarter of 2014. This
percentage is even 30% higher as predicted, the CBS announced. 'The
growth is supported more and more by all aspects of the economy; not
only the investments and consumers but also exports give a positive
contribution.
Especially
the household consumption has risen more than expected. But also the
investmens in buildings and infrastructure is much higher than was
previously forecast. The same accounts for the investments in
machinery and installations. Even the black sheeps of the economy,
retail and services are on the up; consumers have started spending
their money for these sectors as well. And what we don't consume in
our country, we export to the world. And the world needs more and
more of our products and services.
And
yes, I know; of course there will be sceptic readers amongst you, who
will criticize this news. 'How come there are more food banks
(voedselbanken) than ever before' and 'the morgage of my house is
still higher than its value'. 'And what about the Greek economic
downfall; there's no solution in sight for this problem either'. Of
course, not all is well. But Rome wasn't build in one day. Nor was
Athens, by the way.
But
one thing is certain; with an economy that is picking up pace
rapidly, it will be just a matter of time before the inhabitants of
this country will benefit as well. Even our government is considering
giving 5 billion euro in tax returns back to the people. If not
anything else, it will be welcomed by many, so that they can start
paying part of their debts.
For
the government, celebrations have begun as well. The budget deficit
will decrease to 1.9 percent of the total of the Dutch economy. And
next year, this percentage will even go down to 0.8%! Because of the
economic recovery the government collects a lot more tax and spends
less money to unemployment payments as well. Furthermore, the
national debt decreases: tot 64.4 percent of the Gross Domestic
Product next year. And the total Dutch economy is expected to
constitute a total of 698 billion euro by the end of 2016.
OK;
on with the good news. When you compare the economy of this years'
first quarter with the economy one year ago, the economic growth is
an amazing 2.5%! Compare that to the numbers of 2012 (1.1% economic
downturn), 2013 (0.5% down) and 2014 (1.0% economic upturn). If we
keep up this pace the next fifteen years or so, our incomes will have
doubled. And the inflation is lower than ever; a mere 0.9%. Also, the
rise of unemployment has come to a complete stop and more jobs are
available. In the past quarter seventy-one thousand (71,000!) people
received the good news that they can receive a monthly pay check
again. Whether they are an employee or that they have set up their
own little enterprise.
And
if you have your own company, it will be good to also find clients
abroad. Research bureau Markit reported on 23 June that the economic
growth in the Eurozone has risen to 54.1%. This is the highest level
in 49 months! This performance is much better than the economists
have predicted and of all the countries, it was France and Germany
that were amongst the best performers. The chief economist of Markit,
Chris Williamson, explained in the Telegraaf of 23 June, that the
robust growth is strong enough to overcome certain obstacles, such as
the 'Greek storm'.
Already
our economy is roughly back on the level of 2008. The CPB (Centraal
Planbureau; Central Planning Agency) confirms that the Dutch economy
is getting stronger than ever. Last month the CPB announced a drop
in unemployment to 6.7% (or just under 600,000 people) in 2016 and
the budget deficit will decrease to a meagre 0.8%. Compare that to
the crisis of the 1980s when almost one million people did not have a
job.
And
all houseowners can open the champagne bottles again, says Servaas
van der Laan of Elsevier: 'Times have gone that prospective house
buyers can take the time and hold lengthy negotiations on the selling
price. Due to the extremely low mortgage interest rate and severely
low prices, it is now very attractive to buy a house.' And this is
done all over the country: house sales went up from 110,000 in 2013
to over 153,000 in 2014.' And in 2015? Who knows; the sky may just be
the limit.
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